Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Monday, April 13, 2009
Hollinger's new stats
In case you haven't seen it, Hollinger has delved further into sabermetrics (or whatever you would call it for basketball) and has created "VA" (value added, essentially VORP) and "EWA" (estimated wins added, essentially WARP). Basically, he's taken PER and added a minutes per game function in order to better estimate value to a team. PER does not take defense into account, but then again, neither to VORP or WARP, so I'm good with it. (you'll need insider to see these, if you don't have an account, send me a text and I'll send you my info)
So, armed with this new data, he takes another attack at Nash's back-to-back MVP awards. Not surprisingly, Nash was the worst statistically of the top 5 finishers in each of his MVP seasons, lending further credence to the notion that Nash and his MVPs were highly bastioned by PHXs helter-skelter style.
The articles are highly technical, but good reads and lend a framework for the type of analysis I'd like to see us discuss moving forward.
So, armed with this new data, he takes another attack at Nash's back-to-back MVP awards. Not surprisingly, Nash was the worst statistically of the top 5 finishers in each of his MVP seasons, lending further credence to the notion that Nash and his MVPs were highly bastioned by PHXs helter-skelter style.
The articles are highly technical, but good reads and lend a framework for the type of analysis I'd like to see us discuss moving forward.
Sunday, April 12, 2009
Saturday, April 11, 2009
What's Got Byron Scott in a Hissy?
http://mavsblog.dallasnews.com/archives/2009/04/byron-scott-is-all-hot-and-bothered-abou.html
Not sure if you gents saw the post game comment from Byron Scott, but he feels the Mavs were showing his team up last night.
Anyone know what Byron Scott's talking about here?
I didn't see anything to indicate the Mavs acting "classless" and trying to show up the Hornets. Unless you count Bass flexing after two dunks but that's a stretch.
By the way this is the same "classy" Hornets team with Possey calling A-Dub a pu$$y (ironic) last night and of course there's that middle of the road power forward David "I'm so pedestrian w/o CP3" West touching Dirk's cheek last May.
Also, here are some funny thoughts on Byron Scott from a Spurs blog.
http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?p=3279027
As a side note, does any coach in the league have more of a statue stance than Byron Scott? He's go the arm crossed stance down.
Sunday will be a true test on what this team can do in the playoffs. I'm excited to see what our boys in blue got.
After a long season of consistent inconsistency and blowout heart brakes, the Mavs have a chance to send a message to the West that Dallas will not be an easy out for anyone in the playoffs.
Not sure if you gents saw the post game comment from Byron Scott, but he feels the Mavs were showing his team up last night.
Anyone know what Byron Scott's talking about here?
I didn't see anything to indicate the Mavs acting "classless" and trying to show up the Hornets. Unless you count Bass flexing after two dunks but that's a stretch.
By the way this is the same "classy" Hornets team with Possey calling A-Dub a pu$$y (ironic) last night and of course there's that middle of the road power forward David "I'm so pedestrian w/o CP3" West touching Dirk's cheek last May.
Also, here are some funny thoughts on Byron Scott from a Spurs blog.
http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?p=3279027
As a side note, does any coach in the league have more of a statue stance than Byron Scott? He's go the arm crossed stance down.
Sunday will be a true test on what this team can do in the playoffs. I'm excited to see what our boys in blue got.
After a long season of consistent inconsistency and blowout heart brakes, the Mavs have a chance to send a message to the West that Dallas will not be an easy out for anyone in the playoffs.
Friday, April 10, 2009
Hornets Game Thread 4/10/09
The Mavs have an excellent opportunity to move up to the #7 seed with wins tonight and Sunday. They need at least a split to keep their hopes alive. Tonight New Orleans is in Dallas which makes this the easier opportunity of the two. The playoffs are on the horizon and the Mavs are in for the 9th consecutive season, although some will not let us forget the mistakes of the past Let's chat about the game, the playoffs, and everything else Here
Greatness- Best email of the day!
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Thursday, April 9, 2009
CP3 to the Big D? & other notes
Seems like a long shot, but Tim McMahon is writing about it. He also has some Shaq follow-up. I'm not real high on him coming here. Seems like more glam than substance.
Last night's game was sick, Mavs have been on quite a roll. We're not the only ones who get down on our teams after one game, this headline in Salt Lake City sums it up. Check out how they have the teams listed in the West at the bottom of the article - Dallas ahead of Utah, even though Utah clearly owns the tie-breaker right now.
But I'd really like to talk about the Rangers. Last night's game was great, even up to The Opener about letting the game go in the 8th. I thought for sure he was going to give up a game tying jack. That ball that Andrus hit out was smoked. What a smooth swing. I could get used to him. I don't think Nelson Cruz is going to hit 162 HRs this year, but there is no reason why he can't be a .280/.350/.550 guy.
Also, check out these guys that might get a free car if the Rangers keep winning and the Yankees keep losing.
Last night's game was sick, Mavs have been on quite a roll. We're not the only ones who get down on our teams after one game, this headline in Salt Lake City sums it up. Check out how they have the teams listed in the West at the bottom of the article - Dallas ahead of Utah, even though Utah clearly owns the tie-breaker right now.
But I'd really like to talk about the Rangers. Last night's game was great, even up to The Opener about letting the game go in the 8th. I thought for sure he was going to give up a game tying jack. That ball that Andrus hit out was smoked. What a smooth swing. I could get used to him. I don't think Nelson Cruz is going to hit 162 HRs this year, but there is no reason why he can't be a .280/.350/.550 guy.
Also, check out these guys that might get a free car if the Rangers keep winning and the Yankees keep losing.
Wednesday, April 8, 2009
Shaq-- maybe???
Shaq Facing Unsure Future With Suns
Shaquille O'Neal | Suns
Shaquille O'Neal blames the Suns season's "athletic culture changes" for the team's demise and knows his future with them is uncertain."I'm sure there's going to be some decisions to be made," said O'Neal, whose contract expires with a $20 million salary next season. "It's not my job (to decide). There are two types of business owners. Do you want to win or do you want to save money? Period."
When asked which one Suns Managing Partner Robert Sarver was, O'Neal said: "I'm not sure. The guy over here (Dallas owner Mark Cuban) spends money. I don't think he's really worried about the salary cap. I've been around 17 years and that's what it is. You either want to win and don't really care about the salary cap or you want to be under the salary cap." -- The Arizona Republic
Of course the first question is do we want him? The second is will Cuban pay for 1-2 years of 70% Shaq? I think the Mavs are more suited to having Shaq than the Suns were.
Utah Jazz Game Thread 4/8
Big game tonight, I don't think I need to tell anyone that. Cowlishaw writes an article that doesn't tell us anything new here, but the Utah press point out Utah's recent struggles in Dallas.
I think the key moving forward is Josh. He/Mavs gotta manage his ankle and his post-game parties.
As Shiff pointed out, if the Mavs go 5-0, they should move into the 6 seed, and a 4-1 record should be good enough to move up to 7. I'd really like to see this team get to 50 wins, again, that would be a great accomplishment for Carlisle considering this roster and the strength of the West.
In other news, I signed up for twitter last week for the sole reason to track Shaq and Cuban. I haven't tweeted or twatted (or queefed, as the boys on the Ticket have been referring to it) any, but it has been fun to follow Shaq and Cuban. Cuban twats rather frequently, even in-game, but I think that's the point of twitter. Shaq and Cuban had a little banter before and after the rout on Sunday that supposedly led to a post-game meeting, but hopefully it wasn't to discuss Shaq's future in Dallas. We're not one piece away.
I'll be at Pluckers watching the Rangers & Mavs, and will post when I can.
Monday, April 6, 2009
2009 Rangers Preview
Red uniforms are awesome
I Like Elvis Andrus
Pitching needs to be better
Josh Hamilton is awesome
Rangers win 84 games and finish 2nd in the West.
Rangers Captain gets the Most Valuable Mascot Award
Max Newberg for MVP
I Like Elvis Andrus
Pitching needs to be better
Josh Hamilton is awesome
Rangers win 84 games and finish 2nd in the West.
Rangers Captain gets the Most Valuable Mascot Award
Max Newberg for MVP
Stretch Predictions
5 games remain in the 2008-2009 regular season for the Mavs. Their playoff fate will be sealed in the next 5 games. For them to have any chance at advancing into the second round, it is imperative that they get out of the #8 seed. Realistically the Mavs have no chance to win a 7 game series against the Lakers. Best case scenario they hold serve with home court and push them to 6 or 7 games.
In order to get out of the 8 seed, the Mavs are going to need some help. The loss against Memphis killed their chances at controlling their own destiny. The good news is that they have a say in where they end up. The bad news is that they do not have complete say.
Currently, the Mavericks record is 46-31. Going 5-0 puts this team at 51-31. Here is their schedule and my predictions:
Weds - vs Utah - W
Friday - vs New Orleans - W
Sunday - @ New Orleans - W
4/13 - vs Minnesota - W
4/15 - vs Houston - W
Final season record 50-32
Here is the remaining schedule for the Jazz and my predictions
Weds - @ Dallas - L
Friday - @ San Antonio - L
Sat - vs Golden State - W
4/13 - vs LA Clippers - W
4/14 - @ LA Lakers - L
Final Season Record - 49-33
Here is the remaining schedule for the Hornets and my predictions
Tues - @ Miami - W
Weds - vs Phoenix - W
Fri - @ Dallas - L
Sun - vs Dallas - W
4/13 - @ Houston - L
4/15- @ San Antonio - L
Final Season Record - 50-32
The Hornets own the tie-breaker against the Mavs so the only way the Mavs can pass them is if New Orleans has a slip up @ Miami, or vs Phoenix.
It is unrealistic to think that the Mavs can sweep the remaining games against the Hornets, but I think they can and will split.
Seeds #6 and #7 are reasonable, however, their is little margin for error. If the Mavs can win out at home and get a little lucky, they might be playing Denver or San Antonio in the first round, which both present tough challenges but are not as bad of a matchup as LA.
Sunday, April 5, 2009
Phoenix Game Thread 4/5
I'm gonna be in and out on this one boys, but we have to get a win, no other way around it.
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